|
Explanation
of Power Ratings: Power ratings are purely objective and a
deadly weapon in any handicapper's arsenal. No emotion or bias is
involved. PR calculations must be very responsive or they become
old news before you get a chance to use them. Our PR method allows
us to judge pretty accurately the relative strengths of teams in
any given sports event. PR's are an exceptional handicapping tool
and should be utilized with many other handicapping tools such as
trend, statistical and fundamental analysis. Our first step is to
obtain a total Offensive/Defensive index along with each teams
strength of opposition (SOS). We then logarithmically increment or
front load our PR's to reflect each teams recent performance. We
use linear regression analysis to calculate and integrate all this
information into an overall power rating. Our aim is to obtain
winners via Power Ratings and using other tools contained in our
Prophet Zone software package to confirm, rather than just rely on teams via
an RPI or BCS rating system. If you like our ideas but don't have
the time or energy to execute your own, you can always purchase
our Prophet Zone software packages to get that winning edge over
the uninformed individual. Our software includes a host of other
invaluable handicapping tools and information.
To make
predictions for scheduled upcoming games, simply compare the Home
Team's Power Rating to that of the Away Team's Power Rating and
add 3 points for the home team advantage. Thus, for example, a
HOME team with a rating of 110.7 would be favored by 17.2 points,
110.7 + 3 = 113.7 over a VISITING team having a rating of 96.5. Or
a VISITING team with a rating of 91.0 would be favored by 5 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 83.0, 83.0 + 3 = 86.0. The
Overall Power Power Rating can be used to confirm the Home/Away
Power Ratings.
| Rank |
Team |
Overall |
Home |
Away |
| 1 |
New
England |
109.2 |
104.0 |
109.3 |
| 2 |
Green
Bay |
105.7 |
97.2 |
103.4 |
| 3 |
Indianapolis |
104.9 |
104.3 |
105.6 |
| 4 |
Jacksonville |
104.1 |
107.2 |
103.1 |
| 5 |
Dallas |
104.1 |
98.9 |
107.7 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
102.9 |
102.7 |
103.7 |
| 7 |
Philadelphia |
102.9 |
99.7 |
104.4 |
| 8 |
San
Diego |
102.5 |
102.1 |
104.3 |
| 9 |
Tampa
Bay |
102.4 |
96.4 |
99.1 |
| 10 |
Minnesota |
102.3 |
97.3 |
101.0 |
| 11 |
Tennessee |
102.0 |
95.5 |
102.4 |
| 12 |
Houston |
101.9 |
98.9 |
98.1 |
| 13 |
Washington |
101.5 |
98.0 |
100.9 |
| 14 |
Seattle |
101.2 |
98.0 |
99.8 |
| 15 |
New
Orleans |
101.1 |
96.1 |
106.2 |
| 16 |
NY
Giants |
100.0 |
94.9 |
105.1 |
| 17 |
Arizona |
99.6 |
96.2 |
99.1 |
| 18 |
Denver |
98.9 |
98.7 |
99.3 |
| 19 |
Chicago |
98.8 |
95.5 |
104.1 |
| 20 |
Cleveland |
98.1 |
95.9 |
99.7 |
| 21 |
Detroit |
98.1 |
96.2 |
97.0 |
| 22 |
Baltimore |
97.9 |
102.3 |
100.3 |
| 23 |
Cincinnati |
97.0 |
97.7 |
101.7 |
| 24 |
Oakland |
97.0 |
95.3 |
95.5 |
| 25 |
Carolina |
96.7 |
92.4 |
103.1 |
| 26 |
NY
Jets |
96.6 |
96.1 |
100.1 |
| 27 |
Kansas
City |
96.6 |
98.0 |
97.5 |
| 28 |
Buffalo |
95.1 |
95.7 |
96.9 |
| 29 |
Atlanta |
94.5 |
94.4 |
99.7 |
| 30 |
St
Louis |
94.3 |
95.4 |
97.5 |
| 31 |
San
Francisco |
94.1 |
91.9 |
97.0 |
| 32 |
Miami |
93.2 |
94.4 |
99.5 |
|
