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Sportrends involvement with Neural
Networks may become the next best way to predict NFL games, by
finding ways to build mathematical models and identify critical
statistics that provide the most reliability in predicting
outcomes of future team performances. As most football fans might
surmise, the combination of one team's passing offense compared to
the other team's passing defense is a key factor in the outcome of
a game. Likewise, rushing offense versus rushing defense is also a
critical determinant. In addition, turnovers have been identified
as significant variables, with interceptions appearing to matter
more than fumbles. Obviously, point differential and team records
are also a noteworthy consideration. We at Sportrends have settled
on 12 statistical comparisons per team, plus home-field advantage
for a total of 25 variables to identify teams which have a very
good chance of covering the spread. What really matters is how the
two teams match up. For example, lets assume one team has a great
passing offense and its opponent has a weak secondary, while the
second team has a good offensive line, and the first team has a
week defensive line. What happens? How will that affect the
outcome? Our model is designed to learn to predict that. As the
season progresses, the predictions should become even more
accurate because the neural network will become more refined.
Team picks
have incorporated a 3 point overlay. Scores are
based on last year stats. We recommend you wait until each team
has played 3 games.
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Home
Team
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Road
Team
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AT
Score
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HT
Score
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DIFF
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LINE
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Team Picks
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San Francisco
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Baltimore
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17.13
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21.75
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4.6
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-4.0
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